Following the scrapping of their flagship joint fighter jet project, France and Germany have diverged on European defense strategy. This market asks whether the two key EU powers will agree on a new collaborative defense initiative within the next 7 months, signaling a repair of their partnership or continued fragmentation.
Resolution as YES if France and Germany officially announce a new joint defense/military technology partnership or collaborative framework by December 31, 2026. The agreement must be formally signed or officially committed to by both governments. Minor joint initiatives or study groups do not qualify; must be a substantive new project or framework.
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